ACLS

April 17, 2023

The United States May No Longer Be the Region’s Security Convenor

A little too late in trying to catch a fast-moving train headed in the opposite direction of American and allied interests, the Biden administration initiated high-level communications with the Saudi government in the wake of last month’s Chinese-brokered deal between Riyadh and Iran. The administration sent controversial US National Security Council Coordinator for the Middle …

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Syria:  U.S. Hands-Off Approach Leads to Arab “Normalization” Outreach to Assad, but Little Prospect of Assad and His Narco-State Actually Behaving “Normally”

In the Gulf, the Chinese-brokered deal between Iran and Saudi Arabia mainly addressed ending the war in Yemen, but it has also offered Assad his best political opportunity in years, especially after Russia, Turkey, and Iran essentially used their so-called Astana Group forum to steer the long-running UN-brokered political transition into a stalemate. The absence …

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Power Struggle Leads Sudan To War

Sudan’s recent catastrophic power struggle has escalated to unprecedented levels, causing the country’s collapse, according to the Former US Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs, David Shinn. During a public event with various political parties, Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan, Chairman of the Transitional Sovereignty Council and Commander-in-Chief of the Army, suggested that all parties, including himself, step …

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The Region

A Weekly Analysis of the Region’s Most Important EventsApril 17, 2023 This week the Middle East saw several events that seemed to undermine the US-led regional security order and signal further turmoil and conflict. This weekend, an unprecedented battle broke out in Khartoum between the top two Sudanese military leaders. Iran extended its ballyhooed peace …

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